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	<title>MediaMemo &#187; About.com</title>
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		<title>Hot Potato Is Ready to Eat: Do Twitter, Facebook Users Want Another Real-Time Chatter Service?</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091125/hot-potato-is-ready-to-eat-do-twitter-facebook-users-want-another-realtime-chatter-service/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091125/hot-potato-is-ready-to-eat-do-twitter-facebook-users-want-another-realtime-chatter-service/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Nov 2009 15:25:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=13280</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last month I told you about Hot Potato, one of the buzziest start-ups in the very buzzy "real time" sector. Now you can check out the service yourself. Or at least you can get a glimpse of it in this video.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last month <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091023/investors-bet-on-another-real-time-startup-next-up-for-hotpotato-product-users/?mod=ATD_search">I told you about Hot Potato</a>, one of the buzziest start-ups in the very buzzy &#8220;real time&#8221; sector. Now you can <a href="http://hotpotato.com/">check out the service yourself</a>. But not really.</p>
<p>The New York-based service opened its doors last week, but it won&#8217;t really kick into gear until Apple (AAPL) signs off on its iPhone app, and that&#8217;s taking a bit longer than the company expected. Founder Justin Shaffer still thinks he&#8217;ll be up and running on Apple&#8217;s platform in a few days, but until then, you can check out this video interview I shot with him yesterday, where you can get a sense of how the app will work.</p>
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<p>Or if you&#8217;re impatient, here it is in a nutshell: The service is supposed to let users converse in real-time about &#8220;events&#8221;&#8211;whether a football game, business conference or maybe even a really good house party.</p>
<p>You can already do that on Twitter and Facebook, but the pitch is that Hot Potato will help &#8220;curate&#8221; the chatter, so you will end up talking to both your friends and interesting people you don&#8217;t know&#8211;and that&#8217;s something Twitter and Facebook don&#8217;t do well right now.</p>
<p>If it works, there are some obvious advertising/sponsorship opportunities available for the service: The NFL could sponsor chatter about its games, for instance. Or someone who isn&#8217;t related to the football league could sponsor chatter about the games&#8211;since this is user-generated content in its purest form, Hot Potato isn&#8217;t required to get the go-ahead from anyone before it creates a conversational stream.</p>
<p>In any case, Hot Potato now has a pile of money to help it figure this stuff out. Last week, the company closed its first funding round of $1.4 million (I had originally reported that it was raising &#8220;about $1 million&#8221;), and in addition to VC backers First Round Capital and RRE Ventures, the start-up has an array of high-profile angel investors who have pitched in. </p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the roster: Super-angel investor Ron Conway; real-time start-up incubator Betaworks; Huffington Post co-founder Ken Lerer and his son Ben Lerer, who runs Thrillist; New York Observer owner Jared Kushner and his brother, Josh Kushner; ZelnickMedia&#8217;s Strauss Zelnick; Hunch and <a href="http://foundercollective.com/">Founder Collective</a> co-founder <a href="http://www.cdixon.org/about.html">Chris Dixon</a>; About.com co-founder Scott Kurnit; Facebook executive (and Apple vet) Dave Morin; Boxee&#8217;s Zach Klein; angel investor Allen Morgan; and entrepreneurs and investors Scott and Cyan Banister.</p>
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		<title>New York Times Delivers Some Not Terrible News: Earnings, Ad Sales Better Than Expected</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091022/new-york-times-delivers-some-not-terrible-news-earnings-ad-sales-better-than-expected/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091022/new-york-times-delivers-some-not-terrible-news-earnings-ad-sales-better-than-expected/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Oct 2009 12:05:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=12303</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The New York Times announced plans to cut eight percent of its newsroom payroll this week, citing "economic thunderstorms," which suggested that this morning's earnings results were going to be particularly unpleasant. Surprise! They're not that awful, at least by the diminished standards of the newspaper industry.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/new-york-times-building.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1294" title="new-york-times-building" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/new-york-times-building-300x200.jpg" alt="new-york-times-building" width="250" height="166" /></a>The <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091019/new-york-times-to-sack-100-staffers/">New York Times announced plans to cut eight percent of its newsroom payroll</a> this week, citing &#8220;economic thunderstorms,&#8221; which suggested that this morning&#8217;s earnings results were going to be particularly unpleasant.</p>
<p>Surprise! They&#8217;re not that awful, at least by the diminished standards of the newspaper industry:</p>
<p>Excluding one-time charges, the publisher <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1345047&amp;highlight=">earned</a> 16 cents per share on revenue of $570 million. Analysts expected the Times (NYT) to lose a penny per share on revenue of $561 million.</p>
<p>Ad revenue declined 26.9 percent, which is unpleasant but better than the <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090723/a-mixed-bag-from-the-new-york-times-q2-costs-got-better-ads-got-worse-and-web-dollars-disappeared/">previous quarter</a>, when it dropped 30.2 percent. Internet revenue dropped by 7.2 percent and Internet ad revenue was down 8.2 percent. Both of those results are improvements over the previous quarter as well: Last quarter, Internet revenue was down 14.3 percent and Internet ad revenue was down 15.5 percent.</p>
<p>Some cautious optimism from CEO Janet Robinson:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>Looking ahead, visibility remains limited for advertising in the fourth quarter. But as is the case across the media sector, we have seen encouraging signs of improvement in the overall economy and in discussions with our advertisers. Early in the fourth quarter, print advertising trends, in comparison to the third quarter, have improved modestly, while digital advertising trends are improving more  significantly.</p></blockquote>
<p>A little more color on digital: The big improvement this quarter was driven by a turnaround at the Times&#8217;s About.com content mill: Revenue was up 7.2 percent, way up from the 5.1 percent decline posted in the previous quarter. This makes sense, given that About is driven by pay-per-click ads and these have come back across the industry, <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091015/goog-earns/">led by Google</a> (GOOG).</p>
<p>But the story is less impressive at the Times&#8217;s traditional Web sites. Ad revenue there was down 18.5 percent, which is better than the 21.6 percent drop the previous quarter, but nothing to write home about. As it has done in previous quarters, the publisher blames the decline on a drop in online classifieds, and I assume that much of the drop stems from vaporized employment ads. If this is the case, it&#8217;s going to be hard to move those numbers significantly for quite some time.</p>
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		<title>Rise of the Machines: Why Demand Media Is Worth More Than the New York Times</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091020/rise-of-the-machines-why-demand-media-is-worth-more-than-the-new-york-times/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091020/rise-of-the-machines-why-demand-media-is-worth-more-than-the-new-york-times/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Oct 2009 10:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=12235</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The New York Times's model for content creation, which revolves around well-paid professionals who rely on their experience and judgment, looks increasingly threatened. What does a new model look like? Perhaps one where a computer spits out assignments to day laborers who work furiously for low pay.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/chaplin-modern-times.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-12237" title="chaplin-modern-times" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/chaplin-modern-times-250x178.jpg" alt="chaplin-modern-times" width="250" height="178" /></a>The New York Times&#8217;s model for content creation, which revolves around well-paid professionals who rely on their experience and judgment, looks <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091019/new-york-times-to-sack-100-staffers/">increasingly threatened</a>. What does a new model look like? Perhaps one where a computer spits out assignments to day laborers who work furiously for low pay.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the worrisome conclusion you can draw from <a href="http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/10/ff_demandmedia/all/1">Dan Roth&#8217;s excellent profile</a> of Demand Media in the new issue of Wired. The piece is well-worth reading, but here&#8217;s the very short version: Demand has figured out how to generate a massive stream of low-cost stories designed to extract the maximum dollars from Google&#8217;s (GOOG) advertisers.</p>
<p>The company has plenty of competitors that do similar stuff&#8211;Associated Content, Mahalo, and About.com, owned by the New York Times (NYT)&#8211;but Demand&#8217;s secret sauce is an algorithm that helps it figure out the most valuable stories to assign, based on search terms and keyword prices. Which leads to stories like <a href="http://www.ehow.com/video_4951521_donate-car-dallas-texas.html">&#8220;Where can I donate a car in Dallas?&#8221;</a></p>
<p>Demand currently produces about 4,000 new stories a month, paying the freelancers who create them between $15 and $20 a piece. But CEO Richard Rosenblatt wants to up that to a million per year. At that point, Roth notes, &#8220;the payouts could easily hit $200 million a year, less than a third of what The New York Times shells out in wages and benefits to produce its roughly 5,000 articles a month.&#8221;</p>
<p>Which is why <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20090409/if-yahoos-going-social-is-demand-media-back-on-its-dance-list/">Demand is constantly floated as a potential acquisition candidate for the likes of Yahoo</a> (YHOO), at price tags of $1.5 billion or more. Investors, who bid up Times stock a bit after the company announced plans to cut its newsroom headcount by eight percent, currently value the publisher at $1.3 billion.</p>
<p>All of that make you queasy? Then you&#8217;re going to hate reading paragraphs like this:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>Here is the thing that Rosenblatt has since discovered: Online content is not worth very much. This may be a truism, but Rosenblatt has the hard, mathematical proof. It’s right there in black and white, in the Demand Media database&#8211;the lifetime value of every story, algorithmically derived, and very, very small. Most media companies are trying hard to increase those numbers, to boost the value of their online content until it matches the amount of money it costs to produce. But Rosenblatt thinks they have it exactly backward. Instead of trying to raise the market value of online content to match the cost of producing it&#8211;perhaps an impossible proposition&#8211;the secret is to cut costs until they match the market value.</p></blockquote>
<p>I think there&#8217;s an equally worrisome story&#8211;worrisome, that is, from the admittedly self-interested perspective of content creators like me&#8211;about the pressure from advertisers, armed with their own technology, to push the value of online content down even further. But we&#8217;ll save that for later. One downer a day is plenty.</p>
<p>Want to know what the face of new media looks like? Here&#8217;s a 2008 interview Kara Swisher conducted with the preternaturally peppy Rosenblatt: </p>
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		<title>More Pulitzers, Less Money: New York Times Ad Sales Down 27 Percent; Q2 Looks Just as Bad</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090421/more-pulitzers-less-money-new-york-times-ad-sales-down-27/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090421/more-pulitzers-less-money-new-york-times-ad-sales-down-27/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2009 12:51:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=6464</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday the New York Times won five Pulitzer Prizes and executive editor Bill Keller took a well-deserved victory lap with a speech that reportedly had his newsroom in tears. But for better or worse, none of that matters to investors, who are trying to figure out what the company's long-term prospects look like. In the near term, they look terrible.
In the first three months of this year, the company saw ad sales drop 27 percent, and the Internet no longer helps: Web ad sales were down 6.1 percent. The company says to expect more of the same, for a while.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1294" title="new-york-times-building" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/20/files//2008/11/new-york-times-building-300x200.jpg" alt="new-york-times-building" width="250" height="166" />Yesterday the New York Times won five Pulitzer Prizes, and executive editor Bill Keller took a well-deserved victory lap with a speech that reportedly <a href="http://twitter.com/sorayad/status/1568628214">had his newsroom in tears</a>.</p>
<p>But for better or worse, none of that matters to investors, who are trying to figure out what the company&#8217;s long-term prospects look like. In the near term, <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1278647&amp;highlight=">they look terrible</a>.</p>
<p>In the first three months of this year, the New York Times Company (NYT) lost $74.5 million, or 34 cents a share once you factor out one-time charges, on revenue of $609 million. That&#8217;s worse than Wall Street&#8217;s low expectations of a five-cent loss on revenue of $630.8 million.</p>
<p>The reason, of course, is that the ad market is miserable in general, and even more so for newspapers. The company&#8217;s ad revenue was down 27 percent, notably worse than the awful 17.6 percent decline the Times recorded in the last quarter of 2008.</p>
<p>And as in the last quarter, former bright spots like the Internet business have now gone dark as well: Internet revenue was down 5.6 percent, Internet ad sales declined 6.1 percent, and revenue at the Times&#8217;s About.com unit dropped 4.7 percent.</p>
<p>Expect more of the same for the second quarter of this year, warns CEO Janet Robinson: <span class="ccbnTxt">&#8220;At this time, and it is early in the quarter, we believe the rate of decline in ad revenues in the second quarter will be similar to that of the first.&#8221; </span></p>
<p>The Times has been trimming costs <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090326/new-york-times-cuts-salaries-jobs/">(via salary cuts and layoffs)</a> and has bought itself a bit of breathing room <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090219/new-york-times-battens-hatches-drops-dividend/">by getting rid of its dividend</a>, taking on a <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090119/meet-the-new-york-times-new-bank-carlos-slim/">very expensive loan from Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim</a> and <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090123/what-kind-of-price-is-the-new-york-times-getting-for-its-hq/">selling off assets like its Manhattan headquarters</a>. It still has some moves it can make&#8211;<a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081229/supposed-buyer-for-nyts-boston-red-sox-stake-says-hes-not-interested/">it is trying to unload its stake in the Boston Red Sox</a> and to find a buyer for the Boston Globe.</p>
<p>But at some point it&#8217;s going to have find a way to start selling more ads again. Because awards alone won&#8217;t save the paper&#8211;<a href="http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/mixed-media/2009/04/20/layoff-victims-among-pulitzer-honorees">Pulitzers can&#8217;t even guarantee their winners&#8217; continued employment</a>.</p>
<p>The Times has stopped <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090128/the-new-york-times-no-news-is-better-than-bad-news/">providing monthly revenue updates</a>, but it has been pretty good about <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090129/the-new-york-times-says-energy-companies-are-advertising-hollywood-isnt/">providing detail via its earnings calls</a>. I&#8217;ll be on the road during today&#8217;s <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-EventDetails&amp;EventId=2141025">11 a.m. call</a>, but will check the transcript and get back to you later with the most interesting nuggets.</p>
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		<title>Upside at the Washington Post: At Least Web Ads Didn't Disappear Last Quarter</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090225/upside-at-the-washington-post-at-least-web-ads-didnt-disappear-last-quarter/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090225/upside-at-the-washington-post-at-least-web-ads-didnt-disappear-last-quarter/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 14:58:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[magazine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newsweek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Post]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=4612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No shock that the Washington Post had a  miserable fourth quarter. At least the paper's online business didn't fall off a cliff in Q4--which is more than you can say about the New York Times.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-4456" title="old-printing-press" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/02/old-printing-press-300x290.jpg" alt="old-printing-press" width="250" height="241" />At this point you need to be a skilled relativist to find something positive to say about the newspaper business. Last fall, for instance, executives at the Washington Post Co. (WPO) could argue that while their flagship newspaper had a <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081031/washington-post-turns-in-another-lousy-quarter-but-it-could-have-been-worse/">lousy third quarter</a>, it represented an improvement over their second quarter, which was abysmal.</p>
<p>But that won&#8217;t work for the company&#8217;s <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/The-Washington-Post-Company-bw-14463070.html">fourth-quarter results</a> since those show yet more weakness in its print businesses. So here&#8217;s some upside: At least the paper&#8217;s online business didn&#8217;t fall off a cliff in Q4&#8211;which is more than you can say about the New York Times.</p>
<p>The numbers:</p>
<ul>
<li>Newspaper division revenue was down 13 percent; the previous quarter it declined a mere seven percent.</li>
<li>Print advertising declined 21 percent; that&#8217;s worse than the 14 percent decline the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Revenues at the company&#8217;s magazine group were down 18 percent; in Q3 they were down a mere four percent. Newsweek&#8217;s revenue dropped 22 percent, and that decline will continue as the company pares back its circulation base.</li>
<li>The good news I promised? Online revenue was up five percent, and display ads were up 10 percent. Both of those numbers represent decelerations from Q3, when overall online revenue was up 13 percent and display was up 32 percent. But that&#8217;s better than the folks over at the Times, <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090128/internet-ads-vanish-from-the-new-york-times-down-12-in-december/">who saw online ads shrink altogether in Q4</a>.</li>
</ul>
<p>Why would the Times see online revenue fall off a cliff while the Post only saw growth slow? I&#8217;m open to suggestions: The most obvious one is that the Times has much more national exposure than the Post (both companies also have regional papers in the mix, and the Times&#8217;s results include its About.com unit). But if anything, you&#8217;d think that disparity would benefit the Times. Anyone else want to weigh in?</p>
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		<title>The New York Times Says Energy Companies Are Advertising, Hollywood Isn't</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090129/the-new-york-times-says-energy-companies-are-advertising-hollywood-isnt/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090129/the-new-york-times-says-energy-companies-are-advertising-hollywood-isnt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 14:10:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hollywood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Nisenholtz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seeking Alpha]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=3655</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The paper of record provided a helpful peek into its business--and the ad business in general--during its earnings call yesterday. It's not all bad news, and it's all pretty interesting. Here's the CliffsNotes version.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/there_will_be_blood.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-3661" title="there_will_be_blood" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/there_will_be_blood.jpg" alt="" width="225" height="150" /></a>As I noted yesterday, <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090128/the-new-york-times-no-news-is-better-than-bad-news/">the New York Times is going to stop providing monthly updates on the state of its business</a>, which is a bummer but also understandable. But company execs do seem willing to discuss their business in detail during the quarterly earnings calls, which is extremely helpful.</p>
<p>Yesterday, for instance, the New York Times (NYT) provided a wealth of information about the state of the ad business. Here&#8217;s a summary, with an assist from <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/117106-the-new-york-times-company-q4-2008-earnings-call-transcript?page=-1">Seeking Alpha</a>, of stuff I found interesting:</p>
<p><strong>What kinds of companies are still buying ads?</strong> Corporate advertisers like energy companies and financial companies&#8211;those that haven&#8217;t gone bust&#8211;trying to reassure customers; advocacy groups trying to influence the new administration.</p>
<p><strong>Who&#8217;s cutting back?</strong> Hollywood: Fewer movies released, and less marketing money put behind each release (though that will change during awards season this spring); telcos, because there&#8217;s less growth out there; books, for obvious reasons.</p>
<p><strong>Classified ads are killing us.</strong> Above and beyond anything else, the newspaper business is dying because its super-lucrative classified ads business is (still) dying. Technology, in the form of competition like Craigslist, critically wounded classifieds, and now the economy is finishing it off. The dropoff in the help-wanted category accounted for half of the the Times&#8217;s digital decline in Q4, said digital exec Martin Nisenholtz.</p>
<p><strong>NewYorkTimes.com is a meaningful brand for display advertisers. Other properties&#8211;like About.com&#8211;aren&#8217;t.</strong> Nisenholtz says ad rates at NYT.com actually increased for most of the year. But About.com, which had been the company&#8217;s star digital performer, fell apart at the end of the year because of its display ad business&#8211;there&#8217;s nothing about the site&#8217;s brand or audience that commands a premium from display advertisers. The paper is now redesigning About.com to emphasize cost-per-click ads&#8211;that would be ads from Google (GOOG), primarily&#8211;because there&#8217;s still growth there.</p>
<p><strong>Perhaps as much as 50 percent of the company&#8217;s digital inventory is sold by ad networks</strong> In response to a question, Nisenholtz wouldn&#8217;t put out an exact number. But he came close: &#8220;I would say that from an industry-wide perspective, you are probably looking today at around 50 percent. Some of our properties are above that, some of them are below that, but that&#8217;s about where the industry is at this point.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>New York Times: November Was So Terrible, Even Our Internet Ads Were Down</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081224/new-york-times-november-was-so-terrible-even-our-interent-ads-were-down/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081224/new-york-times-november-was-so-terrible-even-our-interent-ads-were-down/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Dec 2008 14:05:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Nisenholtz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=2430</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier this month, executives at the paper warned investors that they had a miserable November. They weren't kidding. Ad revenue was down almost 21 percent, and even Web ads shrank.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/newspaperless.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1903" title="newspaperless" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/newspaperless.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="174" /></a>Earlier this month, executives at the New York Times (NYT) <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-november-was-terrible-but-we-have-our-debt-problems-under-control/">warned investors that they had a miserable November</a>. They weren&#8217;t kidding.</p>
<p>The grim details are <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1239122&amp;highlight=">here</a>, but I&#8217;ll save you some time:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Revenue was down 13.9 percent</strong>, an acceleration from October&#8217;s 9.4 percent drop.</li>
<li><strong>Ad revenue was down 20.9 percent</strong>, an acceleration from October&#8217;s 16.2 percent drop.</li>
<li>The really awful news: <strong>Internet ad revenue and overall Internet revenue actually <em>declined</em> in November</strong>, down 3.8 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively.</li>
</ul>
<p>In the good old days of 2007, the Times could at least say that while print revenue growth was slowing to a halt, Internet ad sales were growing quickly. By last month, the best thing you could say about <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081121/why-the-times-cut-its-dividend-revenues-shrank-again-in-october/">Internet revenue at the Times was that it was still growing a little bit</a>. Now that&#8217;s gone, too.</p>
<p>For the record, the Times says that it was still able to register &#8220;moderate&#8221; display ad growth at its newspapers, but that its online classifieds and real estate ads had gotten crushed, for obvious reasons. And over at About.com, which until now has been the bright spot on the Times&#8217;s financials, display ads shrank, wiping out out &#8220;moderate&#8221; growth in cost-per click ads.</p>
<p>And expect more of the same in December and in 2009. Martin Nisenholtz, the Times&#8217;s digital boss, has already <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-our-digital-ads-could-be-under-great-stress/">warned investors that the &#8220;softness in November&#8221; would &#8220;accelerate into December&#8221;</a> and that &#8220;next year is going to be a different year, by a fairly profound margin.”</p>
<p>Per usual, the one bit of good news in the Times&#8217;s numbers is that its readers continue to value its publications enough to pay for them: Circulation revenues increased 4.2 percent. But if the Times can&#8217;t convince advertisers to pay, too, that&#8217;s not going to matter. Happy holidays!</p>
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		<title>New York Times: Our Digital Ads "Could Be Under Great Stress"</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-our-digital-ads-could-be-under-great-stress/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-our-digital-ads-could-be-under-great-stress/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 21:20:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost-per-click]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[December]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[executives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Janet Robinson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Nisenholtz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[November]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[press release]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UBS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web site]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=1899</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Times says its core Web ad business--selling display ads on its pages--fell off in November, has gotten worse this month and could really be in trouble next year. But About.com is holding up comparatively well.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/newspaperless.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-1903" title="newspaperless" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/newspaperless.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="174" /></a>A glum quartet of New York Times (NYT) executives appeared at the UBS media conference today to repeat <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-november-was-terrible-but-we-have-our-debt-problems-under-control/">what they had already said via press release</a> this morning: <em>Business is grim, but we&#8217;re sure we&#8217;ll be OK. Also, anyone want to lend us money?</em></p>
<p>There was just a glimmer of news at the event, though it wasn&#8217;t surprising or pleasant: The Times&#8217;s Web business is falling away, day by day.</p>
<p>Digital head Martin Nisenholtz said revenue at his unit had been OK until the last two months of the year, but that there had been &#8220;softness in November, accelerating into December&#8230;next year is going to be a different year, by a fairly profound margin.&#8221;</p>
<p>Bear in mind that the Times&#8217;s digital performance pre-November was grim to begin with&#8211;digital revenue grew just 4.3 percent in October&#8211;and it becomes possible to imagine that digital revenue will <em>decrease</em> for at least part of 2009.</p>
<p>Nisenholtz didn&#8217;t do anything rash like attach any numbers to his comments, but he did add a little bit of color: His About.com unit, which is boosted by cost-per-click/search ads, is still doing OK-ish. But the business of selling display ads to Times Web sites is getting pummeled, and could be &#8220;under great stress&#8221; next year, he says.</p>
<p>So if About.com is doing (comparatively) well, why not sell that asset to help the paper escape its cash crunch? I asked CEO Janet Robinson that question after the event. She did everything but insist that the paper would never part with About.com, and praised it up and down&#8211;&#8220;an extremely important part of our digital future,&#8221; etc.</p>
<p>But given a couple chances to do so, she never explicitly ruled out a sale. Given the paper&#8217;s position, I don&#8217;t think she can.</p>
<p>[<em>Image Credit: 1962 NYC Newspaper Strike photo from <a href="http://images.google.com/hosted/life/l?imgurl=0faefee518c02fda&amp;q=newspaper+source:life&amp;ei=y94-Sd7nGIfINLCWqPQO&amp;sig2=DTPTprQ3VvfyejPLjQIEdw&amp;usg=__ALPPBVyBJ0ntRhkBUj_4F5zz-m0=&amp;prev=/images%3Fq%3Dnewspaper%2Bsource:life%26hl%3Den">Life/Google archive</a></em>)</p>
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		<title>Why The Times Cut Its Dividend: Revenues Shrank Again in October</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081121/why-the-times-cut-its-dividend-revenues-shrank-again-in-october/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081121/why-the-times-cut-its-dividend-revenues-shrank-again-in-october/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 12:54:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sulzberger]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=1290</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The New York Times has slashed its dividend by nearly $100 million a year. But that won't be enough to save the paper with results like these: October's report card shows that the paper's core business is continuing to shrink--and that the Internet, where the paper has been investing substantial resources, isn't coming through, either.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/new-york-times-building.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1294" title="new-york-times-building" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/new-york-times-building-300x200.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="166" /></a>The New York Times (NYT) has <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1228939&amp;highlight=">slashed its dividend by 74 percent</a>, which could save it nearly $100 million a year. The cuts will cost the Sulzberger family, which controls the paper and has been receiving some $25 million a year in dividends, more than $18 million.</p>
<p>The move is one of several the paper is going to make if it&#8217;s going to service its $1.1 billion debt load. It is also &#8220;re-evaluating assets&#8221; (i.e., looking for spare parts to sell), and while it has told its editorial staff that it will try not to fire anyone, <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081028/new-york-times-boss-to-staff-keep-up-the-good-work-and-we-probably-wont-fire-you/">it couldn&#8217;t make an ironclad promise</a>.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s because the paper&#8217;s financial results continue to decline, and there doesn&#8217;t seem to be any light at the end of the tunnel. Even the promise of the Internet, where the paper has been devoting substantial resources and effort, is dimming.</p>
<p>The newest numbers, released yesterday: <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1228942&amp;highlight=">Revenue at the company decreased 9.4 percent in October</a>, which is an acceleration from September, when <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105317&amp;p=irol-pressArticle&amp;ID=1216543&amp;highlight=">revenue dropped eight percent</a>. Ad revenue dropped 16.2 percent, compared to a 13 percent drop in the previous month.</p>
<p>And while the paper&#8217;s digital side is still growing, it&#8217;s growing much more slowly: Internet ad revenue grew just 5.3 percent, down from 16.4 percent in September; total Internet revenue, including the company&#8217;s About.com unit, was up 4.3 percent, down from 11.7 percent.</p>
<p>Is there any good news? Just a sliver: The Times&#8217;s readers still value the paper. Circulation remains steady, but circulation revenue continues to creep up. It bumped up 3.9 percent last month, up from three percent growth in September. But it doesn&#8217;t matter how loyal the Times&#8217;s readership is if the company can&#8217;t pay its bills. Expect more turmoil ahead.</p>
<p>[<em>Image Credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/joeshlabotnik/2676866737/">Joe Shlabotnik</a></em>]</p>
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		<title>Is The New York Times Selling About.com? No.</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081103/is-the-new-york-times-selling-aboutcom-no/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081103/is-the-new-york-times-selling-aboutcom-no/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Nov 2008 22:52:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aggregator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[asset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Catherine Mathis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[circulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gawker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Calacanis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mahalo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NYT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[portal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[This Week In Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Times]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The New York Times is in lousy shape, so it needs to sell off About.com, the kind-of-portal, kind-of-blog-aggregator it bought from Primedia in 2005. So says Jason Calacanis, whose Mahalo.com is a kind-of-portal, kind of blog-aggregator. Not true, say two people familiar with the Times and About.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/aboutcom.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-529" title="aboutcom" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/aboutcom.png" alt="" width="250" height="77" /></a></p>
<p>The New York Times (NYT) is in lousy shape, so it needs to sell off <a href="http://www.about.com/">About.com</a>, the kind-of-portal, kind-of-blog-aggregator it bought from Primedia in 2005. So says Jason Calacanis, whose <a href="http://mahalo.com/">Mahalo.com</a> is a kind-of-portal, kind-of-blog-aggregator.</p>
<p>Not true, say two people familiar with the Times and About; they say the paper isn&#8217;t shopping the property.</p>
<p>Calacanis, who made the remarks during the most recent <a href="http://twit.tv/166">This Week In Tech podcast</a>, doesn&#8217;t go into much detail about his claim. <a href="http://gawker.com/5074501/times-said-shopping-aboutcom">Gawker</a> has a link to the audio, but here&#8217;s the relevant transcript, in its entirety:</p>
<blockquote><p>They&#8217;re going to have sell About. They&#8217;ve been trying to sell About.com, from what I understand.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>NYT spokeswoman Catherine Mathis offered up the standard we-don&#8217;t-comment-rumors-and-speculation line.</p>
<p>That said, it doesn&#8217;t mean it couldn&#8217;t happen at some point in the future. <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/10/how-the-new-york-times-nyt-can-save-itself">The Times really does need money</a>, and since About.com is both <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/081023/20081023005644.html?.v=1">growing and profitable</a>, it may be the most valuable asset the Times now owns.</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s exactly why the New York Times would be reluctant to part with it. Like it or not, About.com may well represent the Times&#8217; future.</p>
<p>This isn&#8217;t the first time a Web reporter has suggested that About.com is on the block, by the way. <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/01/nyt-peddling-aboutcom-any-takers.html">I wrote the same thing earlier this year</a>, and I was wrong then.</p>
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