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	<title>MediaMemo &#187; cable TV</title>
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		<title>Comcast Won't Talk About NBCU, Will Talk About Internet Video</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091104/comcast-wont-talk-about-nbc-u-will-talk-about-internet-video/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091104/comcast-wont-talk-about-nbc-u-will-talk-about-internet-video/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 14:49:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=12734</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Comcast couldn't mollify Wall Street about its pending deal to buy NBC Universal this morning, because it refused to talk about the deal at all. The company did spend time, though, explaining the peril and possibilities that Web video poses for the cable giant.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/fancast.png"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-12742" title="fancast" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/fancast-250x130.png" alt="fancast" width="250" height="130" /></a>Wall Street has been <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091002/wall-street-to-comcast-no-nbc-for-us-thank-you-very-much/?mod=ATD_sphere">displeased</a> with Comcast (CMCSA) since <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090930/report-comcast-buying-nbc-for-35-billion/">news of its interest in NBC Universal</a> broke in late September, and the company didn&#8217;t do much to mollify investors today: Executives refused to say much about the deal except to refer to reports of the deal as &#8220;rumors.&#8221; Silly, but expected.</p>
<p>Comcast did have reasonably good news to deliver this morning. It signed up more new customers than Wall Street expected, though it had to cut prices to do so. We&#8217;ll see if that mollifies investors, who really have been salty&#8211;look what&#8217;s happened to <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CMCSA&amp;t=3m">CMCSA shares</a> since news of the GE (GE) transaction broke:</p>
<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/cmcsa-shares.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-12735" title="cmcsa shares" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/11/cmcsa-shares.png" alt="cmcsa shares" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>Since Comcast barely addressed the NBCU deal during its earnings call this morning, it had more time to tackle other topics. A recurring theme: How would increased Web video consumption affect the company?</p>
<p>The answer: No one knows, exactly.</p>
<p>On the one hand, there&#8217;s the threat that consumers will be less likely to pay for cable TV if they&#8217;re getting their shows over the Web, whether it&#8217;s through illegal streams or legitimate &#8220;over the top&#8221; services like the one <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091102/apples-itunes-pitch-tv-for-30-a-month/">Apple (AAPL) is trying to assemble</a>.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why Comcast CEO Brian Roberts described his company&#8217;s &#8220;authentication&#8221; efforts, which are in a beta test now but are scheduled to go nationwide next month, as an effort to make sure that people who consume Web video do so &#8220;in a way that secures the existing model.&#8221;</p>
<p>That is&#8211;he&#8217;d like them to keep paying Comcast for a TV subscription even though they&#8217;re watching shows online. Tough sell.</p>
<p>On the other hand, even if you stop paying for cable TV, you still have to pay someone to connect you to the Web, and it&#8217;s very likely that company will be Comcast. And if you&#8217;re not paying Comcast for TV, there&#8217;s a very good chance you&#8217;ll pay more for your Internet connection.</p>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;ve been saying for a long time that I think video over the Internet is more friend than foe,&#8221; Roberts said this morning. Let&#8217;s see if Wall Street agrees.</p>
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		<title>How Much Will You Have to Pay for Hulu? Nothing. How Much Will You Pay for "Hulu Plus"? Good Question.</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091023/how-much-will-you-have-to-pay-for-hulu-nothing-how-much-will-you-pay-for-hulu-plus-good-question/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091023/how-much-will-you-have-to-pay-for-hulu-nothing-how-much-will-you-pay-for-hulu-plus-good-question/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 17:31:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=12339</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is Hulu putting up a pay wall around its Web TV site? Nope.

Does Hulu want to charge people to watch Web TV? Yes.

Confused? Don't be.

Here's the explanation about what's going on at the premium online video site.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/the_office_promo_pic_nbc.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-6674" title="the_office_promo_pic_nbc" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/the_office_promo_pic_nbc-250x274.jpg" alt="the_office_promo_pic_nbc" width="250" height="274" /></a></p>
<p>Is Hulu putting up a pay wall around its Web TV site? Nope.</p>
<p>Does Hulu want to charge people to watch Web TV? Yes.</p>
<p>Confused? Don&#8217;t be.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s pretty straightforward: Hulu, the joint venture between News Corp.&#8217;s (NWS) Fox, GE&#8217;s (GE) NBC Universal and Disney&#8217;s (DIS) ABC, doesn&#8217;t plan on charging people to watch the stuff it&#8217;s currently airing on the site&#8211;a mix of first-run shows from broadcast TV, a limited number of cable TV shows and a smattering of movies. But Hulu <em>is</em> trying to figure out how to create some kind of premium offering where you&#8217;ll pay for stuff that isn&#8217;t on the site right now.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s what Hulu&#8217;s backers have been saying for months, so it&#8217;s a little puzzling that News Corp. COO Chase Carey&#8217;s <a href="http://www.techmeme.com/091022/p58#a091022p58">comments</a> got folks worked up yesterday. Meanwhile, multiple sources familiar with Hulu&#8217;s plans tell me that&#8230;Hulu doesn&#8217;t actually have a plan yet, but it is trying to piece one together.</p>
<p>There are some pretty obvious ways to go here. Hulu could sell movies or TV shows on a pay-per-view basis, or it could sell subscriptions to shows it doesn&#8217;t offer now or to a deeper offering of shows it already has. You could call it &#8220;Hulu Plus&#8221; (no charge for that one, guys).</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re a fan of Fox&#8217;s &#8220;Family Guy,&#8221; for instance, Hulu is only of limited help: The site only has the most recent five episodes. So how much would you pay to watch the rest of them?</p>
<p>If you don&#8217;t have an answer for that, don&#8217;t worry&#8211;Team Hulu doesn&#8217;t know, either. Nor can they tell you if airing free shows on Hulu has cut into other revenue streams like broadcast TV advertising or DVD sales, even though &#8220;we&#8217;ve done a thousand regression analyses on this,&#8221; says an industry executive involved in the site.</p>
<p>Do bear in mind that this was a problem Hulu&#8217;s backers didn&#8217;t really envision when they were dreaming up the site; at the time, they were most concerned with building a video site that would allow them to barter with Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL).</p>
<p>Now they own one of the biggest video sites on the Web, one they say is performing ahead of plan. And Hulu is selling enough advertising that it&#8217;s coming close to reaching break-even, according to executives I spoke to this week.</p>
<p>But at the very least, adding a pay component to Hulu helps mollify those who fear the site is cannibalizing their existing businesses. Or who simply want another revenue stream. And a pay element dovetails with Hulu&#8217;s interest in joining up with the &#8220;authentication&#8221; movement pushed by cable guys like Comcast (CMCSA) and Time Warner (TWX).</p>
<p>Meanwhile, here&#8217;s the use case for Hulu that its backers originally envisioned&#8211;“catch up viewing.&#8221; I was on a plane when last night&#8217;s episode of the &#8220;The Office&#8221; aired, but I can watch the whole thing&#8211;with ads I can&#8217;t skip&#8211;on my laptop today. And so can you:</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="350" height="202" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="src" value="http://www.hulu.com/embed/Am6vw9t252LFlt3NKzgGQg" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="350" height="202" src="http://www.hulu.com/embed/Am6vw9t252LFlt3NKzgGQg" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
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		<title>Web Video Darling Boxee Gets Another $6 Million: Are Zero Revenue and Big Plans Worth $25 Million?</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090812/web-video-darling-boxee-gets-another-6-million-are-zero-revenues-and-big-plans-worth-25-million/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090812/web-video-darling-boxee-gets-another-6-million-are-zero-revenues-and-big-plans-worth-25-million/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2009 15:46:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=9827</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yet another sign that revenue-free start-ups can still attract investors, given the right pitch: Boxee, the software company that makes it easy to get Web video onto your TV, has raised a $6 million B round led by General Catalyst. I'm told the new round pegs the company's value in the $25 million to $30 million range. What's the appeal? The chance that the company could play a role in the disruption of the $70 billion TV business.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/03/avner-ronen-march-photo.png"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-5239" title="avner-ronen-march-photo" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/03/avner-ronen-march-photo-300x272.png" alt="avner-ronen-march-photo" width="250" height="226" /></a>Yet another sign that revenue-free start-ups can still attract investors, given the right pitch: Boxee, the software company that makes it easy to get Web video onto your TV, has raised a $6 million B round led by General Catalyst. I&#8217;m told the new round pegs the company&#8217;s value in the $25 million to $30 million range.</p>
<p>Boxee has a small but passionate following of some 600,000 users, and it&#8217;s gotten a lot of attention this year, much of it via a <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090218/did-big-cable-force-hulu-off-boxee/?mod=ATD_search">fight</a> with Hulu, which <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090306/hulu-brushes-off-boxee-and-boxee-comes-back-for-more/?mod=ATD_search">doesn&#8217;t want</a> its video <a href="http://d7.allthingsd.com/20090528/zucker-hulus-not-backing-away-from-anti-boxee-stance/?mod=ATD_search">showing up on Boxee browsers</a>.</p>
<p>But Boxee doesn&#8217;t have any revenue, or much of a concrete plan to generate any in the near term: The software is free for consumers, and while CEO Avner Ronen thinks there could be some rev-share possibilities with Web video providers down the road, they&#8217;re&#8230;down the road.</p>
<p>So what&#8217;s the appeal for company&#8217;s backers, which also include Union Square Ventures and Spark Capital, which put $4 million into the company eight months ago and participated in this round as well? It&#8217;s pretty straightforward: The $70 billion TV business is in the first steps of a massive reordering, and perhaps Boxee can play a role in it.</p>
<p>The chief appeal is that Boxee can function as an &#8220;over the top&#8221; alternative to cable TV, giving users the ability to get their favorite programs on a big screen without having to pony up to the likes of Comcast (CMCSA). Ronen wants to use some of his money to ramp up efforts to strike deals with consumer electronics companies like Sony (SNE) and LG, which are pushing Internet-connected TVs, and Microsoft (MSFT), whose Xbox game console is increasingly functioning as an entertainment hub.</p>
<p>But there are plenty of other players jockeying for similar positions, from services like ZillionTV to device makers like Roku, and even Apple (AAPL). And Boxee&#8217;s status as a potential disruptor has a downside as well: It&#8217;s the reason that Hulu, backed at the time by News Corp.&#8217;s (NWS) Fox and GE&#8217;s (GE) NBC, sought to prevent the service from accessing its shows earlier this year.</p>
<p>That said, there hasn&#8217;t been much saber-rattling from either side in recent months. Perhaps this has to do with Disney&#8217;s (DIS) ABC, which had previously enjoyed friendly relations with Boxee, <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090501/why-it-took-more-than-four-months-and-millions-of-dollars-to-get-lost-on-hulu/">coming aboard the joint venture</a>.</p>
<p>Here are a couple interviews I&#8217;ve conducted with Ronen this year: The first one was taped at the Consumer Electronics Show show in January, when his start-up was soaking up the first wave of attention from the TV industry; the second was taped in March, after Boxee had attracted Hulu&#8217;s ire.</p>
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		<title>NBC: Our Local Stations Are Killing Us</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090123/nbc-our-local-stations-are-killing-us/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090123/nbc-our-local-stations-are-killing-us/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jan 2009 11:49:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Vivendi]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=3443</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Local television stations used to be money machines for the big media conglomerates. No more. GE's NBC Universal says its revenues dropped three percent and that its operating profits were down six percent for the last three months of 2008, primarily because of weakness at its local TV stations.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/leno.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-2205" title="NUP_133173_0230" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/leno.jpg" alt="" width="133" height="200" /></a>Local television stations used to be money machines for the big media conglomerates. No more.</p>
<p>GE&#8217;s <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/GE-Earned-181B-in-08-4Q-08-bw-14136421.html">NBC Universal</a> says its revenues dropped three percent and that its operating profits were down six percent for the last three months of 2008, primarily because of weakness at its local TV stations. [Update: NBC says local station revenue was down 25 percent and operating profit down 55 percent, according to <a href="http://www.paidcontent.org/entry/419-earnings-ge-profit-drops-44-percent-nbcu-earnings-slid-6-percent/">paidContent's David Kaplan</a>, who listened to the morning earnings call.]</p>
<p>Look out below: Meredith Corp. (MDP), which owns a handful of local stations in major markets, says its ad sales are <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090123/how-much-worse-can-the-ad-market-get-just-wait/">down 40 percent this quarter</a>.</p>
<p>The upside: Cable TV was strong, GE says&#8211;because cable systems operators have to pay cable networks like NBCU a fixed fee for each subscriber, regardless of the ad market.</p>
<p>And the real upside: GE shareholders don&#8217;t really care that much about NBC&#8217;s performance&#8211;they&#8217;re much more concerned about the company&#8217;s huge finance business. The one exception here would be <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090112/ge-ready-for-a-french-haircut-vivendi-to-write-down-nbc/">Vivendi,</a> which has already said its going to be writing down its stake in NBCU.</p>
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		<title>Wall Street Beats Up Sumner Redstone, Rupert Murdoch: Cuts Estimates for Viacom, News Corp.</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090115/wall-street-beats-up-sumner-redstone-rupert-murdoch-a-bit-more-downgrades-for-viacom-news-corp/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090115/wall-street-beats-up-sumner-redstone-rupert-murdoch-a-bit-more-downgrades-for-viacom-news-corp/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2009 15:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anthony DiClemente]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barclays Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cable TV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MTV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Corp.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pali Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rich Greenfield]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rupert Murdoch]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Viacom]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=3155</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You don't need a particularly good crystal ball to foresee that big media are in for a bad year (at least). But Wall Street singled out Sumner Redstone's Viacom and Rupert Murdoch's News Corp. for special treatment this morning, by whacking estimates for the next few quarters. The short story: The lousy ad market will be even worse than people think.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/lauren-whitney-audrina-01-040.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-3161" title="lauren-whitney-audrina-01-040" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/lauren-whitney-audrina-01-040.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="187" /></a>You don&#8217;t need a particularly good crystal ball to foresee that big media are in for a bad year (at least). But Wall Street singled out Sumner Redstone&#8217;s Viacom (VIA) and Rupert Murdoch&#8217;s News Corp. (NWS) for special treatment this morning, by whacking estimates for the next few quarters.</p>
<p>The short story: The lousy ad market will be even worse than people think.</p>
<p>The longer story: <a href="http://paliresearch.com/">Pali Research&#8217;s</a> Rich Greenfield has chopped his estimates for News Corp. (owner of Dow Jones, which owns this site). He expects operating income for the company&#8217;s fiscal 2009 (which wraps up this summer) to be down 22 percent; he&#8217;d previously pegged the number at -18 percent.</p>
<p>Dragging down the business: The company&#8217;s international newspaper and domestic TV operations; he thinks their operating income will drop a staggering 39.6 percent and 60.4 percent, respectively.</p>
<p>And Barclays Capital&#8217;s Anthony DiClemente takes a similar whack at Viacom: He had previously forecast that Viacom&#8217;s operating income would drop by 1.9 percent in 2009; now he figures the decline will be eight percent.</p>
<p>DiClemente predicts that advertising at Viacom&#8217;s cable networks, which power the majority of the company&#8217;s financials, will drop seven percent in the coming year. That&#8217;s worse than the three percent drop he thinks that cable TV in general will see, in large part because MTV&#8217;s target audience has been disappearing as of late.</p>
<p>Check out the following chart from Barclays, which tracks ratings for the core demographics at Viacom&#8217;s biggest cable channels (click to enlarge):</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/mtv-ratings-edit.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3169" title="mtv-ratings-edit" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/mtv-ratings-edit.png" alt="" width="350" height="235" /></a></p>
<p>Notice that MTV&#8217;s 23.9 percent decline has happened amidst tons of press for its reality shows, notably <a href="http://www.mtv.com/ontv/dyn/the_hills/series.jhtml">&#8220;The Hills,&#8221;</a> which is supposedly a sensation among the kids these days (that&#8217;s some of the cast, at the top of this post). (UPDATE: An earlier version of this post reproduced inaccurate data that Barclays sent out regarding Viacom&#8217;s Noggin channel; Viacom points out that the channel registered a 64 percent increase in its core demo from the fall of 2007 through the fall of 2008).</p>
<p>Meanwhile, did you know that MTV has followed up &#8220;A Shot At Love With Tila Tequila,&#8221; a reality show/dating game hosted by a bikini-wearing bisexual pin-up girl, with &#8220;A Double Shot At Love,&#8221; which is&#8230;well, you can probably guess.</p>
<p>If you need it spelled out, here&#8217;s a promo clip:</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="350" height="283" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/hqmfDe8dqLU&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="350" height="283" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/hqmfDe8dqLU&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Boxee: WebTV That Makes Sense. Is That Good or Bad for Big Cable?</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090112/boxee-webtv-that-makes-sense-is-that-good-or-bad-for-big-cable/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090112/boxee-webtv-that-makes-sense-is-that-good-or-bad-for-big-cable/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2009 18:19:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA["No Country For Old Men"]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Avner Ronen]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Farhad Manjoo]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Time Warner Cable]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Viacom]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=3053</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don't want the Web on my big screen TV. I do want easy access to Web video, though--especially stuff like Hulu and Netflix on Demand. Enter Boxee, and cue worried cable execs.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/time-cover.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-3058" title="time-cover" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/time-cover.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="263" /></a>This year&#8217;s Consumer Electronic Show, like every year&#8217;s CES, was peppered with big talk about merging your PC and your TV, led by a <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20090109/jerry-yang-and-sue-decker-talk-about-yahoos-connected-tv-at-ces/">new widget initiative</a> from Yahoo (YHOO). And my reaction was the same one I have every year: Why?</p>
<p>No need to go on about my lack of interest in this forced marriage, which the consumer electronics business has been trying to make work for more than a decade (see the 1993 Time cover to the right). Slate&#8217;s Farhad Manjoo has done it for me. If you&#8217;re pressed for time, the title will do: <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2208222/">&#8220;I don&#8217;t want my Web TV.&#8221;</a></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what I <em>do</em> want: The ability to use my TV to watch all the great video the Web makes available&#8211;actual TV shows and movies like &#8220;The Office&#8221; on Hulu, &#8220;Lost&#8221; on ABC.com, &#8220;No Country For Old Men&#8221; on Netflix&#8217;s (NFLX) on-demand service. Which is where <a href="http://boxee.tv/">Boxee</a> comes in.</p>
<p>The New York-based start-up makes elegant software that cobbles together offerings from all of those services, plus many more&#8211;with whatever media you have stored on your hard drive&#8211;and serves it up to you on your big screen, with a minimum of fuss. Right now it&#8217;s a niche product&#8211;it only works on PCs running Linux, or Apple&#8217;s (AAPL) Mac mini and AppleTV boxes&#8211;but that should change soon.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s slick stuff, and when you get a chance to watch it in action, it&#8217;s the first time that all those anecdotal stories about people dropping their cable TV subscriptions and just watching Internet video finally make sense: Why pay for cable stations you don&#8217;t want when you can watch just about everything you do want, on demand, for free?</p>
<p>This is also why I&#8217;m not sure how long the big cable companies will allow Boxee to operate unfettered. As the recent <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081231/why-the-web-matters-in-the-viacomtime-warner-fight/">dispute between Time Warner Cable (TWC) and Viacom</a> (VIA) illustrates, the cable operators are increasingly dismayed about paying the cable networks big fees for their content, only to find them giving it away online. And with Boxee providing customers with a real opportunity to drop cable TV in favor of a broadband connection, I worry that it&#8217;s a matter of time before they find some way to throttle the company.</p>
<p>Technically, the cable guys (and the telcos, who are also in the <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/djf500/200901121209DOWJONESDJONLINE000437_FORTUNE5.htm">TV business</a>) aren&#8217;t supposed to be able to do anything about Boxee. They&#8217;re just supposed to act as a dumb pipe serving up high-speed Internet access and keep their mouths shut. In the real world, I don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s going to fly. See: The many <a href="http://blog.wired.com/business/2008/08/comcast-twitter.html">bandwidth caps</a> the cable guys are starting to experiment with, which are aimed at heavy Web video users.</p>
<p>Boxee founder Avner Ronen disagrees, of course. He thinks the cable guys will want to work with his company (he plans to make money by licensing his software to gadget makers and extracting fees from content providers like Netflix, but that&#8217;s all down the line). And maybe he&#8217;s right: When I dropped by his CES booth on Friday, he was being swarmed by emissaries from <a href="http://www.cablelabs.com/">CableLabs</a>, the cable guys&#8217; tech consortium. They were the third group of cable execs to visit the company that day.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll let Ronen make his case in the video below; and I&#8217;ve also included a brief demo video from the company. But that clip doesn&#8217;t really do Boxee justice. Ask one of the 100,000 super-early adopters who are using the software themselves. Or any of the nervous cable guys who saw it last week.</p>
<p><div class="video-wsj"><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={6949446001}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://wsj.vo.llnwd.net/o28/players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="320" height="240" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div><br />
<object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="270" height="152" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://vimeo.com/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=2010794&amp;server=vimeo.com&amp;show_title=0&amp;show_byline=0&amp;show_portrait=0&amp;color=8cc641&amp;fullscreen=1" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="270" height="152" src="http://vimeo.com/moogaloop.swf?clip_id=2010794&amp;server=vimeo.com&amp;show_title=0&amp;show_byline=0&amp;show_portrait=0&amp;color=8cc641&amp;fullscreen=1" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object><br />
<a href="http://vimeo.com/2010794">quick intro to boxee</a> from <a href="http://vimeo.com/boxee">boxee</a> on <a href="http://vimeo.com">Vimeo</a>.</p>
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		<title>Washington Post Turns in Another Lousy Quarter. But It Could Have Been Worse</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081031/washington-post-turns-in-another-lousy-quarter-but-it-could-have-been-worse/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081031/washington-post-turns-in-another-lousy-quarter-but-it-could-have-been-worse/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 13:26:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=388</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Washington Post Company's Q3 report card is bad. But it's better than the last one the troubled newspaper and education company earned. And yes, you have to be in the media business to look at a seven percent yearly decline in revenue, which is what Wapo's newspaper group recorded, as a positive. But that decrease is indeed better than Q2, when newspaper revenues were down 13 percent.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/printing-press.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-393" title="printing-press" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/printing-press-199x300.jpg" alt="" width="199" height="300" /></a>MediaMemo worries that it is going to be writing grim stories about layoffs at media companies for many months. So it&#8217;s going to try very hard to find some good news whenever it can.</p>
<p>Take the Washington Post Company&#8217;s (WPO) <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/081031/20081031005107.html?.v=1">Q3 report card</a>, for instance. It&#8217;s bad. But it&#8217;s better than the <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/8/washington-post-reeling-print-ads-down-22-online-growth-slowing-to-a-crawl">last one the troubled newspaper and education company earned</a>.</p>
<p>And yes, you have to be in the media business to look at a seven percent yearly decline in revenue, which is what Wapo&#8217;s newspaper group recorded, as a positive. But that decrease <em>is</em> better than Q2, when newspaper revenues were down 13 percent.</p>
<p>And there are more lemonade-from-lemon stats available:</p>
<ul>
<li>Online ads are up 13 percent year-over-year, an acceleration from the four percent growth they recorded in Q2. And given that most publishers saw decreasing growth this summer, that&#8217;s a decent achievement. Display ads were up 32 percent. (Flipside: Lucrative online classified ads were down eight percent).</li>
<li>Print ads declined 14 percent y/y, but that&#8217;s better than the 22 percent decrease last quarter.</li>
<li>Revenues at WPO&#8217;s magazine group were down four percent, but that&#8217;s better than Q2&#8217;s 15 percent decrease. And ads at Newsweek were down 13 percent, but last quarter they declined 21 percent.</li>
</ul>
<p>Meanwhile WPO&#8217;s Kaplan education unit, which now accounts for more than half of the company&#8217;s revenue, did just fine. And its cable group did well, too.</p>
<p>There. Doesn&#8217;t that feel better?</p>
<p>Alas, MediaMemo does have to point out that the company&#8217;s local TV group did poorly, just like most local TV groups have been doing.</p>
<p>The unit&#8217;s revenues were basically flat at $78 million. But if you strip out one-time boosts from political and Olympic-related ads, it&#8217;s down some 8.5 percent, which is worse than last quarter&#8217;s six percent decline. Happy Halloween!</p>
<p>[<em>Image Credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/nostri-imago/2857667058/">cliff1066</a></em>]</p>
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