<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>MediaMemo &#187; display ads</title>
	<atom:link href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/tag/display-ads/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com</link>
	<description>by Peter Kafka</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 25 Nov 2009 21:20:46 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4</generator>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<image>
		  <url>http://allthingsd.com/theme/images/logo-rss.jpg</url>
		  <title>All Things Digital</title>
		  <link>http://allthingsd.com/</link>
		  <width>144</width>
		  <height>22</height>
	</image>		<item>
		<title>(Cautiously) Upbeat Ad News of the Day: (Some) Display Ads Improving</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090929/cautiously-upbeat-ad-news-of-the-day-display-ads-improving/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090929/cautiously-upbeat-ad-news-of-the-day-display-ads-improving/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2009 10:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analyst]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[auto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inventory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance-based]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pricing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Publishers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PubMatic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Q3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rubicon Project]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time Warner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[travel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=11482</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here's your daily dose of goodish news about the Web ad business, courtesy (again) of Mark Mahaney, who says display ads are perking up. Or at least some of them are.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/02/tunnel.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-4122" title="tunnel" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/02/tunnel-300x191.jpg" alt="tunnel" width="250" height="159" /></a>Here&#8217;s your daily dose of goodish news about the Web ad business, courtesy <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090925/some-more-positive-murmurs-for-web-ads/">(again)</a> of Mark Mahaney, who says display ads are perking up. Or at least some of them are.</p>
<p>The Citigroup (C) analyst spoke with PubMatic and the Rubicon Project, two &#8220;optimization&#8221; firms that help publishers manage inventory they hand over to ad networks. And both say they&#8217;re seeing continued upticks in sales and demand.</p>
<p>Pubmatic, for instance, says pricing has increased every month this year, and Rubicon says that they&#8217;re seeing demand from&#8211;believe it or not&#8211;travel and auto advertisers. Just as encouraging, buyers are actually making &#8220;longer-term&#8221; plans, which was unheard of in the darkest days of 2008 and 2009.</p>
<p>Both firms also reiterate the conventional wisdom that we&#8217;ve been hearing for the past 12 months: The money that <em>is</em> being spent is increasingly going to &#8220;performance-based&#8221; ads, which are paid for only when someone interacts with them. That&#8217;s another data point in favor of Google (GOOG), whose core product is performance-based.</p>
<p>Again: Things were so lousy a year ago and through the spring of 2009 that it&#8217;s prudent to take these kinds of data in stride.</p>
<p>And if you really want to be half-empty about it, you can note that the inventory Rubicon and Pubmatic sell is the cheapest real estate publishers have to offer. Which means it&#8217;s hard to say how various sites&#8217; high-end real estate&#8211;the stuff they sell themselves&#8211;is doing.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll get a better sense of that in about a month or so, during Q3 earnings season, when we get color from Web publishers like Time Warner&#8217;s (TWX) AOL and the New York Times (NYT).</p>
<p>But, as I said, this is supposed to be an optimistic post.</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="350" height="283" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/EWwrhUX3iTM&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="350" height="283" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/EWwrhUX3iTM&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090929/cautiously-upbeat-ad-news-of-the-day-display-ads-improving/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>MySpace, Facebook Move Lots of Display Ads, Not So Much Money</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090901/myspace-facebook-move-lots-of-display-ads-not-so-much-money/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090901/myspace-facebook-move-lots-of-display-ads-not-so-much-money/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2009 20:19:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blogs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[comScore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impressions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[July]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mocospace.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monetize]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MySpace]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Corp.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social network]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sprint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zynga]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=10601</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just how big are MySpace and Facebook? Big enough to account for nearly one in five of the display ads Web marketers buy in the U.S. That has nothing to do the number of dollars the two social networks generate, since their ad impressions are famously cheap. But at least it gives you a sense of the services' potential.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/kingkonglives.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-9473" title="kingkonglives" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/kingkonglives-202x300.jpg" alt="kingkonglives" width="100" height="200" /></a>Just how big are MySpace and Facebook? Big enough to account for nearly one in five of the display ads Web marketers buy in the U.S.</p>
<p>That factoid comes via Web-tracking service comScore (SCOR), which says the two sites accounted for 17.4 percent of the display ads in the U.S. market in July.</p>
<p>News Corp.&#8217;s (NWS) MySpace, in the midst of a turnaround effort, has a slight lead over Facebook&#8211;9.2 percent of the market versus 8.2 percent. That makes sense since MySpace has always been aggressive about loading up with ads, while Facebook has been fairly reticent, much to the dismay of the &#8220;when are you going to monetize?&#8221; crowd. (Click table to enlarge.)</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/top-social-network-display-ads.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-10606" title="top-social-network-display-ads" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/top-social-network-display-ads.png" alt="top-social-network-display-ads" width="350" height="255" /></a></p>
<p>That&#8217;s something you knew intuitively, of course. But interesting to see it in graphic form.</p>
<p>Another data point you already knew, but may still find worthwhile to see in black and white: Just how small the scraps are for the rest of much of the social network ad world. By comScore&#8217;s count, the next eight-biggest social networks command a collective 1.4 percent of the market. (By the way, ever heard of MocoSpace.com before? Do you know anyone who claims to be a user?)</p>
<p>Remember that we&#8217;re just talking about overall impressions, not dollars. And ad impressions on social networks are famously cheap, so this stat only tells part of the story. But it&#8217;s an important part. It illustrates the potential that the services have, even if they haven&#8217;t capitalized on it (not that they haven&#8217;t tried).</p>
<p>Meanwhile, here&#8217;s a bonus table from comScore laying out the top advertisers on social networks. No surprise to see the likes of AT&amp;T (T) and Sprint (S) here. But perhaps it&#8217;s noteworthy that Verizon (VZ), the strongest U.S. telco, spends the least on social media impressions. Meanwhile, social network app makers/services like Zynga are spending heavily.</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/top-social-network-advertisers.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-10608" title="top-social-network-advertisers" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/09/top-social-network-advertisers.png" alt="top-social-network-advertisers" width="350" height="232" /></a></p>
<p><em>(News Corp. owns Dow Jones, which owns this Web site.)</em></p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090901/myspace-facebook-move-lots-of-display-ads-not-so-much-money/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Happy Days Aren't Here Again: Another Miserable Quarter for NBC</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090717/happy-days-arent-here-again-another-miserable-quarter-for-nbc/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090717/happy-days-arent-here-again-another-miserable-quarter-for-nbc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jul 2009 11:38:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[television]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cable]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings call]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[first quarter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gains]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[income]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Zucker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBC Universal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[operators]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[second quarter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[upfront sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[write-down]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=9400</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, Google told Wall Street that its business had "stabilized" during the spring, but it may be one of the only media companies that gets to say that.

GE's NBC Universal, for instance, just posted second-quarter results that were as bad as its first quarter. Jeff Zucker's TV and movie unit said revenue was down eight percent, and profit down 41 percent for the three months ending June 30; in the previous quarter, revenue was only down two percent, while profit was down 43 percent.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/zucker.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-9401" title="zucker" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/zucker-199x300.jpg" alt="zucker" width="199" height="300" /></a>Yesterday, Google (GOOG) told Wall Street that its business had &#8220;stabilized&#8221; during the spring, but it may be one of the only media companies that gets to say that.</p>
<p>GE&#8217;s (GE) NBC Universal, for instance, just posted second-quarter results that were as bad as its first quarter. Jeff Zucker&#8217;s TV and movie unit said revenue was down eight percent and profit down 41 percent for the three months ending June 30; in the previous quarter, revenue was down only two percent, while profit was down 43 percent.</p>
<p>Per usual, GE said NBC&#8217;s cable business was doing okay (which makes sense since it gets a guaranteed income stream from cable operators), but that its overall ad business and local TV markets were getting killed. Or in technical terms, they&#8217;re seeing &#8220;continued pressure.&#8221;</p>
<p>Three months ago, GE went out of its way to make the point that if you stripped out one-time charges like write-downs, its earnings drop would have only been in the 15-25 percent range. It may make the same argument again during the earnings call later this morning, so I&#8217;ll check back then.</p>
<p>UPDATE: Once again, NBC is arguing that its earnings aren&#8217;t that terrible. The company had to take nearly $100 million in charges this quarter, and last year it had some one-time gains. So really, the company argues, its earnings are down a mere 24 percent. Here&#8217;s the highlight reel from the earnings call. Note the lines about upfront sales being slow and Web display ads being hit. Click chart to enlarge.</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/nbc-earnings.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-9404" title="nbc-earnings" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/07/nbc-earnings.png" alt="nbc-earnings" width="350" height="208" /></a></p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090717/happy-days-arent-here-again-another-miserable-quarter-for-nbc/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Washington Post's Slide Makes The New York Times Look Better</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090501/washington-posts-slide-makes-the-new-york-times-look-better/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090501/washington-posts-slide-makes-the-new-york-times-look-better/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2009 13:13:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[classified]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flagship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kaplan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[paper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[print]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[publisher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[results]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Post Company]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=6893</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For the last year or so, the Washington Post Co. has reported steadily declining results for its newspaper business--just like every other newspaper publisher in the country. But in previous quarters, it was at least able to argue that its slide wasn't as bad as the one the New York Times was going through. It can't say that anymore.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/newsies-194x300.jpg" alt="newsies" title="newsies" width="161" height="250" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-6185" />For the last year or so, the Washington Post Co. (WPO) has reported steadily declining results for its newspaper business&#8211;just like every other newspaper publisher in the country. But in previous quarters, it was at least able to argue that its slide wasn&#8217;t as bad as the one the New York Times (NYT) was going through.</p>
<p>It can&#8217;t say that anymore.</p>
<p>The Post says revenue at its flagship paper was down 22 percent in the last quarter and that print ad revenue was down 33 percent. That&#8217;s worse than the declines of 13 percent and 21 percent it posted in the <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090225/upside-at-the-washington-post-at-least-web-ads-didnt-disappear-last-quarter/">previous quarter</a>. And it&#8217;s lousier than the poor results the Times <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090421/more-pulitzers-less-money-new-york-times-ad-sales-down-27/">posted last month</a>, when it reported that overall ad revenue had dropped 27 percent.</p>
<p>The same holds for the Post&#8217;s online business: Even in the good old days, it wasn&#8217;t growing fast enough to counter the decline at the print business. But now, online is declining, too.</p>
<p>Web revenue was down eight percent, because the classifieds business has been decimated. Online display ads, at least, were up a meager three percent. But last quarter, display ads were up 10 percent and the overall business was still growing five percent.</p>
<p>As usual, the real difference between the Post and the Times isn&#8217;t their performance but their corporate structure: The Times is pure-play media business that&#8217;s now choking on debt, while the Post is an education company (Kaplan) that happens to own a newspaper, which makes all of these grim results much easier to bear.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a survey of the rest of the Post&#8217;s business lines. Click on the image to enlarge.</p>
<p><img rel="lightbox" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6897" title="washington-post-revenue" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/washington-post-revenue.png" alt="washington-post-revenue" width="350" height="127" /></p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090501/washington-posts-slide-makes-the-new-york-times-look-better/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Ad Forecasts: Crummy Offline, OK Online, Sun to Rise in East, Set in West</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090414/ad-forecasts-crummy-offline-ok-online-sun-to-rise-in-east-set-in-west/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090414/ad-forecasts-crummy-offline-ok-online-sun-to-rise-in-east-set-in-west/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2009 11:15:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ad market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gannett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inventory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Publishers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PubMatic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rubicon Project]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[traditional ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zenith Optimedia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=6268</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Media giant Zenith Optimedia says the ad market is in worse shape than it had previously suspected. This is what Zenith Optimedia, along with just about every other ad forecaster, has been saying every three months or so for the past year. So it's hard to get worked up about this stuff. The upside is also old news: Online advertising is doing better than traditional ads.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1444" title="empty-billboard" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/20/files//2008/11/empty-billboard-204x300.jpg" alt="empty-billboard" width="136" height="200" />Media giant Zenith Optimedia says <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123967358227115677.html">the ad market is in worse shape than it had previously suspected</a>.</p>
<p>In the old days, this might have qualified as news. But for the past year or so, Zenith Optimedia, along with just about every other ad forecaster, has been <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/2008/10/hey-do-you-think-this-economy-stuff-will-hurt-the-ad-business-">revising its forecasts downward every couple of months</a> as the reality of the financial meltdown sinks in. So it&#8217;s hard to get worked up about this stuff.</p>
<p>More stuff you pretty much knew already: Online advertising is doing better than traditional ads.</p>
<p>Citigroup (C) analyst Mark Mahaney summarizes his chat with the CEOs of PubMatic and the Rubicon Project, which help online publishers sell inventory through ad networks. Their takeaway is that while pricing for online display ads has dropped dramatically in the past couple quarters&#8211;by as much as 50 percent in some cases&#8211;overall spending should remain flat this year. And as we all know, that&#8217;s the new up.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;d like to see concrete numbers from the ad market, hang tight until Thursday, when we&#8217;ll get earnings reports from two companies at the opposite end of the media spectrum: Gannett (GCI) and Google (GOOG).</p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090414/ad-forecasts-crummy-offline-ok-online-sun-to-rise-in-east-set-in-west/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>First Up for Carol Bartz: Deliver Yahoo's Miserable Q4 Report Card</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090113/first-up-for-carol-bartz-deliver-yahoos-miserable-q4-report-card/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090113/first-up-for-carol-bartz-deliver-yahoos-miserable-q4-report-card/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2009 19:50:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Kara Swisher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carol Bartz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Yang]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time Warner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=3099</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Congrats on the new job, Carol! But now, you get to report that your new company has posted a decline in its core advertising business for the first time in its history.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/yahoo-logo.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-3106" title="yahoo-logo" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/yahoo-logo.jpg" alt="" width="124" height="97" /></a></p>
<p>One of the first duties for <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20090113/bartz-to-be-yahoo-ceo-now-what-next/">new Yahoo CEO Carol Bartz</a>: Deliver a brutal fourth-quarter report card for the company she just inherited.</p>
<p>So says Citi (C) analyst Mark Mahaney, who predicts that Yahoo (YHOO) will post a one percent year-over-year decline in its core display ad business when it reports fourth-quarter earnings Jan. 27. That would be the first time that&#8217;s ever happened in the company&#8217;s history. Mahaney, in his best dry analyst-speak, describes that as a &#8220;significant negative.&#8221;</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/yahoo-citi-q4.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-3101" title="yahoo-citi-q4" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/yahoo-citi-q4.png" alt="" width="350" height="120" /></a></p>
<p>It also won&#8217;t be a huge surprise: As the chart above (click to enlarge) illustrates, Yahoo&#8217;s display advertising has been weakening throughout the year. The same has been happening to its peers, too: Time Warner&#8217;s (TWX) AOL may be about to post an <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090107/did-aol-ad-dollars-drop-18-last-quarter/">18 percent drop in its ad revenue</a>.</p>
<p>Industrywide, Mahaney thinks, display ads will climb two percent this year. (<a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081103/how-low-will-online-ads-go-lower-says-jp-morgan-very-very-low-says-gawkers-nick-denton/">That makes him an optimist in some quarters</a>.)</p>
<p>And if Bartz does have to deliver lousy news, now is the best possible time to do it: This will get laid at the feet of Jerry Yang, Sue Decker and the economy in general.</p>
<p>Next quarter, though? A different story.</p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090113/first-up-for-carol-bartz-deliver-yahoos-miserable-q4-report-card/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>New York Times: Our Digital Ads "Could Be Under Great Stress"</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-our-digital-ads-could-be-under-great-stress/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-our-digital-ads-could-be-under-great-stress/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 21:20:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[About.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost-per-click]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[December]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[display ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[executives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Janet Robinson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Nisenholtz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[November]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[press release]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UBS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web site]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=1899</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Times says its core Web ad business--selling display ads on its pages--fell off in November, has gotten worse this month and could really be in trouble next year. But About.com is holding up comparatively well.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/newspaperless.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-1903" title="newspaperless" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/newspaperless.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="174" /></a>A glum quartet of New York Times (NYT) executives appeared at the UBS media conference today to repeat <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-november-was-terrible-but-we-have-our-debt-problems-under-control/">what they had already said via press release</a> this morning: <em>Business is grim, but we&#8217;re sure we&#8217;ll be OK. Also, anyone want to lend us money?</em></p>
<p>There was just a glimmer of news at the event, though it wasn&#8217;t surprising or pleasant: The Times&#8217;s Web business is falling away, day by day.</p>
<p>Digital head Martin Nisenholtz said revenue at his unit had been OK until the last two months of the year, but that there had been &#8220;softness in November, accelerating into December&#8230;next year is going to be a different year, by a fairly profound margin.&#8221;</p>
<p>Bear in mind that the Times&#8217;s digital performance pre-November was grim to begin with&#8211;digital revenue grew just 4.3 percent in October&#8211;and it becomes possible to imagine that digital revenue will <em>decrease</em> for at least part of 2009.</p>
<p>Nisenholtz didn&#8217;t do anything rash like attach any numbers to his comments, but he did add a little bit of color: His About.com unit, which is boosted by cost-per-click/search ads, is still doing OK-ish. But the business of selling display ads to Times Web sites is getting pummeled, and could be &#8220;under great stress&#8221; next year, he says.</p>
<p>So if About.com is doing (comparatively) well, why not sell that asset to help the paper escape its cash crunch? I asked CEO Janet Robinson that question after the event. She did everything but insist that the paper would never part with About.com, and praised it up and down&#8211;&#8220;an extremely important part of our digital future,&#8221; etc.</p>
<p>But given a couple chances to do so, she never explicitly ruled out a sale. Given the paper&#8217;s position, I don&#8217;t think she can.</p>
<p>[<em>Image Credit: 1962 NYC Newspaper Strike photo from <a href="http://images.google.com/hosted/life/l?imgurl=0faefee518c02fda&amp;q=newspaper+source:life&amp;ei=y94-Sd7nGIfINLCWqPQO&amp;sig2=DTPTprQ3VvfyejPLjQIEdw&amp;usg=__ALPPBVyBJ0ntRhkBUj_4F5zz-m0=&amp;prev=/images%3Fq%3Dnewspaper%2Bsource:life%26hl%3Den">Life/Google archive</a></em>)</p>
<span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsPreviousSiblings"></span><span class="fdPrintIncludeParentsChildren"></span>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081209/new-york-times-our-digital-ads-could-be-under-great-stress/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>