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	<title>MediaMemo &#187; Expedia</title>
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	<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com</link>
	<description>by Peter Kafka</description>
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		  <title>All Things Digital</title>
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		<title>Citi: Worst May Be Over for Internet Stocks</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090519/citi-worst-may-be-over-for-internet-stocks/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090519/citi-worst-may-be-over-for-internet-stocks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 17:48:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blue Nile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ebay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expedia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[M&A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASDAQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tech]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=7512</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[More fuel for the "things may not be getting worse, and may even be getting a little bit better" meme that I've been detecting (or perhaps promulgating ) recently: Citigroup analyst Mark Mahaney notes that the Internet stocks he covers are up an average of 28 percent so far this year while the tech-heavy NASDAQ is only up seven percent and the broader S&#38;P is down two percent. If this keeps up, we might have an M&#38;A market again. Wouldn't that be interesting?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-7518" title="inflating-balloon" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/inflating-balloon-250x165.jpg" alt="inflating-balloon" width="250" height="165" />More fuel for the &#8220;things may not be getting worse, and may even be getting a little bit better&#8221; <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090505/media-execs-get-a-little-less-grouchy-are-ads-creeping-back/">meme</a> that I&#8217;ve been <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090515/spring-fever-more-very-very-cautious-optimism-for-media/">detecting</a> (or perhaps promulgating ) recently: Citigroup (C) analyst Mark Mahaney notes that the Internet stocks he covers are up an average of 28 percent so far this year while the tech-heavy NASDAQ is only up seven percent and the broader S&amp;P is down two percent.</p>
<p>Big winners so far include Blue Nile (NILE), up 73 percent; Expedia (EXPE) up 68 percent; and Amazon (AMZN) up 44 percent. Moderate winners, comparatively speaking, include Google (GOOG) up 27 percent; eBAY (EBAY) up 21 percent; and Yahoo (YHOO) up 22 percdent.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the full breakdown of the 16 Internet stocks Mahaney covers (click table below to enlarge):</p>
<p><img rel="lightbox" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7513" title="mahaney-web-chart" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/mahaney-web-chart.png" alt="mahaney-web-chart" width="300" height="210" /></p>
<p>I usually steer well clear of opining/guessing about stock prices and the like, but I think it&#8217;s worth considering Mahaney&#8217;s note, both for his explanation and for the potential impact of the stocks&#8217; run.</p>
<p>The explanation: Part of this is basic what-goes-down-must-go-up market yo-yoing&#8211;Internet stocks got pummeled worse than the rest of the market last year so it&#8217;s easier for them to bounce back. But Mahaney also thinks that most of the stocks he follows are going to turn in the worst performance, earnings-wise, in the quarter we&#8217;re in now. Investors <em>like</em> that because it means that things can only get better.</p>
<p>The impact: Remember the old days when public companies could use their shares as currency to acquire smaller companies? Well, we&#8217;re not headed back there quite yet. But a sustained rally sure could kick-start the M&amp;A market, which will make things more interesting for the likes of me, at the very least.</p>
<p>[<em>Image credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/joshmadison/2707370164/">joshmadison</a></em>]</p>
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		<title>Yet More Google Estimate Cuts: Big Online Marketers Slashing Ad Spending</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081112/yet-more-google-estimate-cuts-big-online-marketers-slashing-ad-spending/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081112/yet-more-google-estimate-cuts-big-online-marketers-slashing-ad-spending/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 16:57:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ebay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Expedia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Priceline]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=988</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Even more Wall Street analysts are cutting their estimates for Google, making the reasonable argument that if the world's economy stinks, that might have some impact on the world's biggest media company. To be more specific: Citigroup's Mark Mahaney says that big online advertisers Amazon, eBay, Expedia and Priceline will all be making big cuts in their Web ad budgets this quarter.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/google-logo.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-836" title="google-logo" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/google-logo-300x119.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="99" /></a>Even <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081110/ad-slowdown-finally-hitting-google-too/">more</a> Wall Street analysts are cutting their estimates for Google (GOOG), making the reasonable argument that if the world&#8217;s economy stinks, that might have some impact on the world&#8217;s biggest media company.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/11/12/google-one-recession-to-crush-them-all/">Barron&#8217;s Eric Savitz</a> summarizes the notes from Citigroup’s Mark Mahaney, Collins Stewart’s Sandeep Aggarwal and Stanford Group’s Clayton Moran. So I&#8217;ll just highlight one part of Mahaney&#8217;s argument: A check of four big online e-commerce companies&#8211;Amazon (AMZN), eBay (EBAY), Expedia (EXPE) and Priceline (PCLIN)&#8211;indicates that they&#8217;ll be making dramatic cuts in the amount they spend on Web advertising this quarter (see chart below).</p>
<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/online-ad-spending-citi.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-989" title="online-ad-spending-citi" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/online-ad-spending-citi.png" alt="" width="350" height="116" /></a></p>
<p>&#8220;These companies are staring into what could be an ecommerce abyss and appropriately cutting back on their marketing spend, certainly including their spend with Google,&#8221; Mahaney writes.</p>
<p>To recap: Dollars are continuing to move from traditional media outlets online, and <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/11/ad-share-shift-update-google-swallows-world">Google is capturing the lion&#8217;s share of that move</a>. But even Google isn&#8217;t impervious to what&#8217;s ailing the economy right now.</p>
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