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	<title>MediaMemo &#187; Thomson Reuters</title>
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		<title>BusinessWeek's Future Is Cloudy, but Better Than It Could Have Been: The Grim Non-Bloomberg Scenario</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091030/businessweeks-future-is-cloudy-but-better-than-it-could-have-been-the-grim-non-bloomberg-scenario/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091030/businessweeks-future-is-cloudy-but-better-than-it-could-have-been-the-grim-non-bloomberg-scenario/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2009 19:12:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[cash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost cutting]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[ZelnickMedia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=12603</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[BusinessWeek employees are waiting to hear if they'll have jobs once Bloomberg takes over the publication, and I'm told that staffers expect to hear their fate shortly after Thanksgiving. That has to be unnerving, but I can at least offer a little bit of comfort in the worst-case scenario employees would be facing had they been purchased by private equity firm ZelnickMedia. The short version: Almost everybody gets fired.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/clint-escapes.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-740" title="clint-escapes" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/clint-escapes.jpg" alt="clint-escapes" width="285" height="206" /></a>BusinessWeek employees are waiting to hear if they&#8217;ll have jobs once Bloomberg takes over the publication, and I&#8217;m told that staffers expect to hear their fate shortly after Thanksgiving. &#8220;Either you&#8217;ll get an offer or you won&#8217;t,&#8221; is the conventional wisdom among the 400 staffers, an employee tells me.</p>
<p>That has to be unnerving, but I can at least offer a little bit of comfort: The worst-case scenario the employees would be facing had they been purchased by private equity firm ZelnickMedia, which was also bidding for the publication.</p>
<p>The short version: Almost everybody gets fired.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the longer version of the plan, provided to me by a person familiar with ZelnickMedia&#8217;s bid. It sounds like a plausible idea for a PE group that specializes in turning around distressed assets&#8211;and a chilling one for anybody who draws a paycheck at BusinessWeek:</p>
<ul>
<li>Wind down BusinessWeek&#8217;s print business &#8220;as profitably as possible&#8221;&#8211;the company would have to honor existing subscriptions and could still sell ads in the magazine. But the focus would be on building up BusinessWeek&#8217;s Web site, which has a decent-sized footprint, though not a <a href="http://paidcontent.org/article/419-businessweek.com-and-bloomberg.com-combined-not-exactly-burning-the-cha/">huge one</a>.</li>
<li>Dump almost all of the company&#8217;s newsgathering staff and outsource most of that work to Thomson Reuters (TRI).</li>
<li>Employ a small handful of editorial employees&#8211;perhaps 20, down from the 200-plus who are there now. Some of them would run a Huffington Post-style aggregation site that produces no original content, and some more expensive hires would produce a smattering of high-quality reporting and writing designed to burnish/sustain the BusinessWeek brand. &#8220;Just to give it uniqueness and sizzle,&#8221; my source tells me.</li>
<li>Dump most of the existing business side, as well, but overhaul and bulk up the sales force.</li>
</ul>
<p>The insult-to-injury kicker: Under ZelnickMedia&#8217;s proposal, the buyer wouldn&#8217;t pay a dime for the publication it intended to rebuild. Instead, McGraw-Hill would pay the fund to take the publication off its hands. If that sounds implausible, consider that McGraw-Hill just announced that it will <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091026/businessweeks-fire-sale-nets-mcgraw-hill-5-9-million/">save up to $25 million next year by not owning the title</a>.</p>
<p>Given the above terms, it&#8217;s easy enough to see why McGraw-Hill ended up going with Bloomberg. For starters, the winning bidder actually paid cash for the magazine, and McGraw-Hill will end up netting a $5.9 million gain, after taxes, on the deal.</p>
<p>Also important: McGraw-Hill won&#8217;t have to anguish as it watches one of its flagship properties get dismantled.</p>
<p>So what will happen to BusinessWeek now that Bloomberg owns it? Nothing nearly so drastic, at least in the short term. For now, <a href="http://paidcontent.org/article/419-interview-bloombergs-pearlstine-says-buying-businessweek-matches-need-a/">Bloomberg is talking about bulking up the title</a>, not shredding it, so that&#8217;s a good sign for both employees and readers.</p>
<p>Alas, Bloomberg can&#8217;t take on all of the magazine employees looking for jobs, and that pool is only going to get bigger.</p>
<p>Forbes slashed deep into its staff this week, and next week Time Warner&#8217;s (TWX) Time Inc. will lay out some of its layoff goals. I&#8217;ve heard Time Inc. employees refer to layoff plans as &#8220;tree-trimming&#8221; or &#8220;surgical,&#8221; but I think the trimming will feel much blunter to the folks who lose their jobs. The publisher&#8217;s cost-cutting plans include hundreds of layoffs&#8211;something likely similar to the cuts the publisher went through last year, I&#8217;m told.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/it_pink_slip_time_FlaIvb3nkxf3Y9B1cZeo9H">New York Post&#8217;s Keith Kelly</a> reports today that Time&#8217;s News and Finance unit, which includes Time, Fortune and Sports Illustrated, will be particularly hard hit, and I&#8217;ve confirmed that myself.</p>
<p>UPDATE: No surprise here: BusinessWeek President Keith Fox is stepping down. Mild surprise: He&#8217;s staying on at McGraw-Hill. Here&#8217;s his memo:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>When we announced that McGraw-Hill was exploring strategic options for BusinessWeek, I promised to communicate with you as openly and often as I could.  In this spirit, I wanted each of you to know that I will be remaining with McGraw-Hill after the deal with Bloomberg is closed. I will continue to play a role in the integration post-close and plan to take on a new role at McGraw-Hill in 2010.</p>
<p>During this process, our collective goal was to find the best buyer for BusinessWeek. I am proud that I played a role in ensuring that BusinessWeek has a new home at Bloomberg, where it will thrive under the leadership of Norman Pearlstine. I am committed to the transition and helping in any way that I can.</p>
<p>It’s been a privilege to be the President of BusinessWeek. I thank Terry McGraw for his confidence and trust in me and Glenn Goldberg for his support, direction, clarity, and sense of humor. I’ve also been a member of an amazing team which has navigated the transformation of the media environment with agility, focus, passion, and integrity.</p>
<p>The team&#8211;Steve Adler, Jessica Sibley, Tania Secor, Linda Brennan, Roger Neal, and Carl Fischer&#8211;is the best in the industry. Like BusinessWeek, they have bright futures ahead of them.  I will miss the daily interaction, but I am wiser (and a little grayer) because of their collaborative spirit and desire to make BusinessWeek the global leader in business that it is today.</p>
<p>I also have a special thanks to Patricia Hipplewith, my assistant, who juggled my calendar, protected me from solicitors, and kept me on schedule and well fed! She is the personification of commitment and integrity.</p>
<p>I am humbled by BusinessWeek’s 80-year history. Thank you for allowing me to play a small part in it.</p>
<p>Keith</p></blockquote>
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		<title>How Good Is Google's Growth Story? Time to Find Out.</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091015/how-good-is-googles-growth-story-time-to-find-out/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091015/how-good-is-googles-growth-story-time-to-find-out/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2009 11:34:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Bernstein Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consensus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost cutting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Jeffrey Lindsay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[YouTube]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=12112</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Google CEO Eric Schmidt couldn't be any clearer: He's been saying, over and over, that he thinks the recession is in his company's rear-view mirror. And Wall Street has been listening: It has been steadily pushing up the search giant's shares for months. Today we get to find out just how good Google's growth story is.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/light-tunnel.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-7416 alignright" title="light-tunnel" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/05/light-tunnel-250x167.jpg" alt="light-tunnel" width="250" height="167" /></a>Google CEO Eric Schmidt couldn&#8217;t be any clearer: He&#8217;s been <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091007/live-from-new-york-google-cofounder-sergey-brin-meets-the-press/">saying</a>, <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090626/google-less-unhappy-days-are-here-again/">over</a> and <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090923/google-yahoo-going-shopping-again/">over</a>, that he thinks the recession is in his company&#8217;s rear-view mirror. And Wall Street has been listening: It has been <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091012/goog-earns-walkup/">steadily pushing up Google shares</a> for <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GOOG&amp;t=6m&amp;l=on&amp;z=m&amp;q=l&amp;c=">months</a>.</p>
<p>Now we get to find out just how good Google&#8217;s (GOOG) growth story is. Read three different analyst reports and you&#8217;ll get three different descriptions of Wall Street&#8217;s &#8220;consensus&#8221; estimates for the search giant&#8217;s Q3 numbers, out this afternoon. But <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Ahead-of-the-bell-Googles-3Q-apf-746500217.html?x=0&amp;.v=1">Thomson Reuters</a> thinks the Street expects earnings of $5.42 per share on revenue of $4.24, so we&#8217;ll go with that.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a more detailed breakdown of expectations, courtesy of Bernstein Research&#8217;s Jeffrey Lindsay. Note that per above, his description of consensus differs from the one at Thomson Reuters (click to enlarge):</p>
<p><a rel="lightbox" href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/google-forecasts.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-12115" title="google forecasts" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/google-forecasts.png" alt="google forecasts" width="350" height="129" /></a></p>
<p>More broadly, Wall Street expects to hear that U.S. ad dollars picked up in the last quarter, that international markets have as well, and that margins have held up due to cost-cutting, because Eric Schmidt has been saying all of those things out loud in <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091007/google-says-googles-perks-are-overrated-and-belt-tightening-is-underrated/">recent days</a>. Schmidt has also continued to talk up YouTube&#8217;s prospects for profits, so expect to hear about that this afternoon as well.</p>
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		<title>BusinessWeek Explains Why BusinessWeek Is for Sale: It's a Money Pit</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090724/businessweek-explains-why-businessweek-is-for-sale-its-a-money-pit/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20090724/businessweek-explains-why-businessweek-is-for-sale-its-a-money-pit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Jul 2009 12:44:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Bruce Wasserstein]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Jon Fine]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=9685</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier this year, a top BusinessWeek editor assured me that McGraw-Hill wouldn't part with the publication--because even if it was losing money it was still a trophy asset for the publisher. But perhaps my source didn't comprehend how much money his employer was actually losing.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/20/files//2008/12/dark-knight-burning.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1583" title="dark-knight-burning" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/20/files//2008/12/dark-knight-burning-247x300.jpg" alt="dark-knight-burning" width="164" height="200" /></a>Earlier this year, a top BusinessWeek editor assured me that McGraw-Hill wouldn&#8217;t part with the publication&#8211;because even if it was losing money, it was still a trophy asset for the publisher. But perhaps my source didn&#8217;t comprehend how much money his employer was actually losing.</p>
<p>Now we know. BusinessWeek&#8217;s Jon Fine talks to people who have seen the black book for BusinessWeek, which McGraw-Hill (MHP)  has indeed put on the block. The numbers are brutal. <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/jul2009/db20090723_350469.htm">Fine</a>:</p>
<blockquote class="memo"><p>The data state that BusinessWeek lost around $20 million on revenues of $147 million in 2008, and that slightly smaller losses are projected in 2009 on revenue of around $135 million. These losses do not, however, include key corporate overhead items, such as rent and certain infrastructure-related costs. When all those items are factored in, the total loss figure essentially doubles, said two executives who saw the data.</p></blockquote>
<p>Not surprisingly, those numbers seem to have scared off every traditional publisher that might be a logical buyer. The list of nonacquirers includes Time Warner&#8217;s (TWX) Time Inc., News Corp. (NWS) (which owns this Web site), Bloomberg and Thomson-Reuters (TRI).</p>
<p>So who does want this thing? Fine suggests that Open Gate Capital, the private equity firm that bought TV Guide for $1 plus debt last year, may be up for a similar transaction. Another possibility: Billionaire Bruce Wasserstein, who&#8217;s already shown a penchant for high-profile properties, like New York magazine.</p>
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		<title>Shhhhhh! Media, Tech Moguls Meeting Today. Don't Tell Anyone!</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081111/shhhhhh-media-tech-moguls-meeting-today-dont-tell-anyone/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081111/shhhhhh-media-tech-moguls-meeting-today-dont-tell-anyone/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 16:08:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=918</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Under normal circumstances, if the CEOs of big companies like Cisco, Microsoft, and Comcast speak in front of an audience of bigwigs, it's news. But you're unlikely to hear what John Chambers, Steve Ballmer and Brian Roberts say today and tomorrow at Quadrangle's Foursquare conference--no press allowed. Unless...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/empty-chairs.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-923" title="empty-chairs" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/empty-chairs-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="187" /></a>Under normal circumstances, if the CEOs of big public companies&#8211;like, say, Cisco (CSCO), Microsoft (MSFT) and Comcast (CMCSA)&#8211;speak in front of an audience of bigwigs, it&#8217;s news.</p>
<p>And who knows? Maybe John Chambers, Steve Ballmer and Brian Roberts will indeed say something important today and tomorrow at Quadrangle&#8217;s Foursquare conference. Chrysler&#8217;s Robert Nardelli is speaking too. He might have something newsworthy to say.</p>
<p>But you are unlikely to read about it.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s because there&#8217;s no press allowed at the private equity shop&#8217;s annual conference, which starts this afternoon at New York&#8217;s Plaza Hotel.</p>
<p>Or rather, there&#8217;s <em>some</em> press at the event. But they&#8217;ll be on stage. And they won&#8217;t be telling their readers and listeners what they saw and heard.</p>
<p>CNBC&#8217;s David Faber, Becky Quick and Maria Bartiromo, for instance, will be moderating panels over the next few days. So will the New York Times&#8217; Andrew Ross Sorkin. And network TV news bigshots Katie Couric, George Stephanopoulos and Brian Williams will answer questions themselves (Portfolio&#8217;s Matt Cooper will be moderating that one).</p>
<p>Am I crabby because I asked (nicely) and couldn&#8217;t get in myself? Nah. It&#8217;s Quadrangle&#8217;s event, and they can run it any way they want. But it does look like a pretty good gathering of worthies. Maybe I&#8217;ll park myself in the Plaza&#8217;s lobby and see if I can bump into some of them.</p>
<p>Want to join me? Here&#8217;s the agenda for next two days:</p>
<p><strong>Tuesday 11/11</strong><br />
2:00 PM WELCOME<br />
Joshua L. Steiner (Quadrangle)</p>
<p>ONE ON ONE WITH JOHN CHAMBERS (Cisco)<br />
Moderated by Jim Citrin (Spencer Stuart)</p>
<p>WHO DO YOU TRUST: INFORMATION AND NEWS IN AN  OPEN WORLD<br />
Tom Glocer (Thomson Reuters), Nancy McKinstry (Wolters Kluwer) and Sheryl Sandberg (Facebook)<br />
Moderated by David Faber (CNBC)</p>
<p>ALL ABOUT WIRELESS<br />
Jean-Bernard Lévy (Vivendi), Naguib Sawiris (Orascom Telecom) and Ben Wolff (Clearwire)<br />
Moderated by Steven Rattner</p>
<p>4:15 PM BREAK</p>
<p>GOING IT ALONE IN AN INTERCONNECTED WORLD<br />
Philippe Dauman (Viacom), Charlie Ergen (EchoStar) and Robert Kotick (Activision)<br />
Moderated by Becky Quick (CNBC)</p>
<p>GLOBAL E-COMMERCE: $500 BILLION AND GROWING<br />
Barry Diller (IAC) and Hiroshi Mikitani (Rakuten)<br />
Moderated by Steve Hasker (McKinsey)</p>
<p>6:15 PM COCKTAIL RECEPTION<br />
Grand Ballroom Foyer<br />
The Plaza<br />
<strong><br />
Wednesday 11/12</strong><br />
8:30 AM WELCOME<br />
ONE ON ONE WITH STEVE BALLMER (Microsoft)<br />
Moderated by Ken Auletta (The New Yorker)</p>
<p>INNOVATION AND THE NEXT BIG IDEA<br />
Jean-François Decaux (JC Decaux) Robert Stephens (Geek Squad founder?) and Jim Wiatt (William Morris)<br />
Moderated by Andrew Ross Sorkin (New York Times)</p>
<p>A CONVERSATION WITH SAM ZELL (Equity Group, Tribune Co.)<br />
Moderated by Joanne Lipman (Portfolio)</p>
<p>10:00 AM BREAK</p>
<p>COOP-ER-TITION: A CONVERSATION WITH PETER CHERNIN (News Corp.) AND BRIAN ROBERTS (Comcast)<br />
Moderated by Ken Auletta</p>
<p>REBUILDING A BRAND FROM THE TOP DOWN<br />
Dan Hesse (Sprint) and Robert Nardelli (Chrysler)<br />
Moderated by Maria Bartiromo</p>
<p>NOON Concluding Luncheon<br />
CAMPAIGN 2008: IN FRONT OF THE CAMERA AND BEHIND THE SCENES<br />
Katie Couric (CBS), George Stephanopoulos (ABC) and Brian Williams (NBC)<br />
Moderated by Matt Cooper (Portfolio)</p>
<p>[<em>Image Credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/pinkmoose/2355080489/">PinkMoose</a></em>]</p>
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		<title>VCs Closed Their Checkbooks Last Month</title>
		<link>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081111/vcs-closed-their-checkbooks-last-month/</link>
		<comments>http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20081111/vcs-closed-their-checkbooks-last-month/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 11:58:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kafka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MediaMemo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Kafka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[music]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[funding]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PE Hub]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PE Week]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Project Playlist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sequoia Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomson Reuters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capitalists]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/?p=907</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The myth of professional investors like venture capitalists is that they're not like us: They're smarter, they can see around corners, and they're bold when we are quivering. Or maybe they're just like us: When their 401ks gets crushed in a once-in-a-lifetime market rout, they think twice before writing another check. That appears to have happened in October, when VCs spent less money, on fewer companies, than they have in years.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/crater.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-44" title="crater" src="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/crater.jpg" alt="" width="246" height="250" /></a>The myth of professional investors like venture capitalists is that they&#8217;re not like us: They&#8217;re smarter, they can see around corners, and they&#8217;re bold when we are quivering.</p>
<p>Or maybe they&#8217;re just like us: When their 401k&#8217;s gets crushed in a once-in-a-lifetime market rout, they think twice before writing another check.</p>
<p>That appears to have happened in October, when VCs spent less money, on fewer companies, than they have in years. Details from Thomson Reuters/PE Week, via <a href="http://www.pehub.com/22934/vcs-are-turning-off-the-tap-2/">PE HUB</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The data show that U.S.-based venture firms invested in just 250 companies in October, down from 565 companies in September and 518 companies in October 2007. You have to go all the way back to January 2004 (when they invested in 232 companies) to find a lower number. The only other October with fewer deals was in 1993.</p>
<p>The amount of capital that VCs are investing also plummeted in October, when U.S.-based firms put $2.5 billion to work, down from $3.8 billion in September and $3.2 billion in October 2007. The October 2008 total is the smallest amount that U.S. VCs have invested since February 2006, when they invested about $2.4 billion. Looking only at October, the last time the monthly total was lower was in October 2004, when about $2.4 billion was invested.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Recall that in addition to the market getting crushed last month, October also ushered in a flurry of <em>look out!</em> pronouncements from some of the VC world&#8217;s biggest names, including <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081009/irony-alert-bubble-making-venture-capitalists-start-popping-them/">Sequoia Capital</a>. So it&#8217;s understandable that deal flow might dry up.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not going away entirely. And it doesn&#8217;t mean that VCs are avoiding Web 2.0-like gambles. See, for instance, the <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081110/van-natta-takes-playlist-ceo-job-with-new-investment-by-pittman/">$20 million or so that investors just pumped into Project Playlist</a>, yet another music discovery services with both legal challenges (the music labels are suing it) and operational ones (there isn&#8217;t much revenue, and getting more will be tough).</p>
<p>Nor does it mean that the investors who fund VCs themselves are bailing out&#8211;yet. More on that later.</p>
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